Slovenia 7th/8th Nov

[Feri]

Bwin

[Feri]

[Feri]

[Feri]

Saša Bakarič M (CM Celje),

Rok Hanžič D (Domžale),

Mirza Mešić F
Almir Sulejmanovič D
(Rudar Velenje),

Blaž Božič M
Matej Rapnik D
(Interblock)

Bojan Đukić D
Amedej Vetrih M
(HiT Gorica).

Amir Karič D
Nebojša Kovačevič M
(Luka Koper)

[Jensen]

» Gorica - Nafta | Neutral : Uptrend

› Odds: 2.02 3.26 3.19

› Gorica home: 1-2-5 12-17
› Gorica form: 1-5-0 9-8
› Home form: 1-2-3 10-13

› Nafta away: 1-2-5 8-16
› Nafta form: 2-3-1 10-10
› Away form: 1-2-3 7-11

› Trend @ Hometeam: Gorica is 6-1-1
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Gorica is 4-0-1



» Interblock - Rudar Velenje | Downtrend : Downtrend

› Odds: 3.47 3.34 1.89

› Interblock home: 3-2-3 9-8
› Interblock form: 1-1-4 7-11
› Home form: 3-1-2 8-6

› Rudar Velenje away: 4-1-3 14-11
› Rudar Velenje form: 2-1-3 8-10
› Away form: 3-0-3 11-9

› Trend @ Hometeam: Interblock is 3-0-1
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.



» Koper - Domzale | Neutral : Uptrend

› Odds: 1.81 3.31 3.83

› Koper home: 4-3-1 12-9
› Koper form: 2-3-1 6-6
› Home form: 2-3-1 9-8

› Domzale away: 2-3-3 11-15
› Domzale form: 3-2-1 9-6
› Away form: 2-2-2 10-11

› Trend @ Hometeam: Koper is 6-6-2
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Domzale is 1-4-0



» Publikum Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana | Neutral : Neutral

› Odds: 2.36 3.14 2.65

› Publikum Celje home: 4-1-3 12-12
› Publikum Celje form: 2-3-1 10-11
› Home form: 2-1-3 9-12

› Olimpija Ljubljana away: 5-0-3 12-6
› Olimpija Ljubljana form: 2-1-3 6-5
› Away form: 4-0-2 10-4

› Trend @ Hometeam: Publikum Celje is 8-2-4
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Neither team is favoured based on history.



» Drava - Maribor | Downtrend : Neutral

› Odds: 3.20 3.29 2.01

› Drava home: 2-2-4 7-12
› Drava form: 1-2-3 6-6
› Home form: 2-1-3 5-8

› Maribor away: 5-0-3 16-11
› Maribor form: 3-1-2 12-10
› Away form: 4-0-2 13-9

› Trend @ Hometeam: Maribor is 4-3-2
› Trend @ Hometeam L 3 years: Maribor is 3-1-1

[Feri]

Cheers Jensen!

I've accidentally erased 15' of writing... here it goes again...


Interblock - Rudar

Interblock almost managed to scr*w the bettors for the 3rd consecutive time after they lost
their entire first 11. Their youth team is one of the best in SLO and they are showing some
good games trying to prove they deserve to be first teamers. They were 3-4 in Gorica and had
a sitter in the last attack...

Rudar has made headlines in the SLO football world after a good season they ran over Celje
4-0! away and then lost to Drava 0-3 at home.
Drava had to react after the bad series and they still have some over average players in
Semler (top Bayern youth scorer - wasted his talent imo) and Kronaveter who's turning into
a great leader, plus the three foreigners Ogu, De Sousa and Ekpoki and some other s as well
who are mainly the same players that managed the huge series end of previous season when
they succeded to stay in league 1. Therefore the AW is not that shocking but maybe the
result was more unexpected though games like that happen (red card also).

Rudar has won 3/4 of their last away games and all in handy. This time it's time for next in a
row of their away wins as I'm positive Pusnik (coach) has had his '5 minutes' with the team
preparing them for the Interblock game as well as 'analysing' the Drava disaster.
the team that will be fielded are going to follow his instructions almost blindly and there will
be changes for sure. If nothing else than their imo best attacker Mešič and one of the key
defenders Sulejmanovič will have to sit out due to cards. As Omladič is still injured (?) the team
will look different but again I'm positive they'll be running just a gear too fast for the mixed
Interblock team.

So we'll go with Rudar here (or against Interblock again) and odds @2.00ish for AW are
really juicy imo!

[Feri]

Koper - Domžale

I may not be quite the best one to follow as I don't like this Koper and their game. Though
they're leading the tables by an unbelivable 6 points (huge imo after 16 rounds) they were
rubbish in Ljubljana (Olimpija) the last round and all the second league teams with the Olimpija
chances would've won against them but of course Olimpija didn't.
It was the first time they had to cope without their key player Pavlin and it was all but nice
to see what they had to offer. Olimpija was all over them most of the game but missed impossible
chances and finally even lost 0-1.
Now Pavlin will be back though they'll have to play without his 'buddies' - best imo friend
karic and also Kovacevic who're both his 'age'.
Handanagic should be back in Koper's defence which is good news , even better than Karic who
should've been excluded in Ljubljana but our distinguished ref didn't want to show him red.

Domzale on the other hand are showing character lately and they're playing well organized
football under ex-Koper coach Badzim and they'll offer quite a challenge to Pavlin addicted
home team who as mentioned are too high and too far in the tables and it's time imo they start
falling slowly.
Domzale already outplayed Koper in their first season's game but they weren't lucky and
skilful enough so it ended 1-1 and this time whhen Domzale are showing better form than
back then I see a good chance for them to take points in Koper at least one if not all.

Therefore my pick is going to the away side and expecting +0.5 for AW in asians and even
hoping for + 0.75

[Kryptos]

Gorica @2.05 is value ! Nafta looks in bad form , after the draw in Interblock Ljubljana (almost lost) and against Domžale , i didn't see their last games , anyone can say us how looks Nafta in their last games ? but Gorica looks good so far , they need some points , they are the last in Prva Liga , and they impressed me last game against Interblock , from 1-2 , they won 4-3

[Feri]

Gorica - Nafta

Gorica's coach Mladenovic who had a heart attack at the end of their Drava game is feeling
better and that's another good news besides their first at all HW this season which was quite
lucky at the end though they were already up 4-2. Meaning they still have work to do when
it comes to defence especially when they should be the pace making side.
Though Gorica managed not to lose in their last 7! games they were mostly playing defensively
taking care of not losing as the bad series had to come to an end. Mladenovic then started
to think of the more attacking way and then his accident happened.
Gorica is expected to attack at home of course even more so as they still are bottom of the table
and they simply don't have much choice. Their attackers are quite far from being the threat
they used to be and the fact they scored 4 vs 'unexperienced' Interblock doesn't change a lot.
Additionally they're without their best forward Velikonja and the missings only start with him.
Goran Galešič, Matej Mlakar, Sebastijan Komel, Mitja Pirih - 1st keeper, Amadej Vetrih and Bojan Đukič
are all absent and they are all more or less 1st choice players.
Still with Osterc, Demirovic and some others they'll imo be able to create goal chances.

Nafta on the other hand has only lost 1/7! championship games recently and is top of the tables
when it's about form. Vucicevic seems to be successful with his changes and after he is
fieldieng the best prepared men (as he stated) and not the 'stars' (Jankovic playing 10-15'
lately f.e.) he has also managed to get more agression and attacking minded players.
Though not losing they stilll have problems with their away games which was also demonstrated
in Ljubljana vs Interblock.

Over seems best option here imo as we have weakened Gorica who're in need of points though
and expected to go forward having a bad defence and on the other hand Nafta who'll also
play their attacking game and as usual create many chances. I have a feeling Gorica could
take something here and though weakened they could win it with some luck, but my main
choice here is OVER @1.73 though again my totals are not always best thing to follow

[Feri]

Starting with what I find 'obvious' series. If you compare the recent games of both you'll see
'all green' but one on the right hand side, meaning they both have much better results away
atm.
Celje has lost 3/5 of their home games winning only 1, meanwhile Olimpija is even more convincing
by winning 5/6 away games 1 of them being at a lower league team in cup.

Celje somehow managed to come back 3! times in Maribor and finally take a point, but it was
not that much about them as about Maribor's unexperienced squad who couldn't hold and who
made mistakes immediately after they took the lead.

Olimpija seems much more relaxed away which is understandable as they have better counter
players (Cime, Tiganj,...) than players attacking the set up defence. Therefore they are
getting much more space which Cime and co are using thankfully.

Not sure about today's game though as Celje wants a revenge for the 2-4 loss earlier and
series have to end once too. Just too unclear for me and NO BET for that reason, though
if odds come closer to 2.00 for Olimpija +0.25 they'll become value.

[_rosso_nero_]

feri,this is becoming really funny
how many times we've seen in last period such movements when interblock was involved and at FT came,the contrary outcome of which odds were suggesting.

[Feri]

Rosso...

If f.e. I found nice value in Rudar AW @Interblock @2.00-ish, then perhaps after some time
(closer to the game) other people could find value as well (just an example, not that I would be
a measure ) and after voice has spread and people started jumping on AW, odds of course
dropped and value gone imo.
It's also much dependent on asians as well because they're pounding much higher stakes on
games and even 1 or 2 of 'asian bettors' are enough (for Slovenia at least) to totally turn odds
around.

[Feri]

Saturday results

Of course Interblock is the one that again made the headlines. Though today it was also about
Rudar's missings. At the end rudar almost had the same number of youngsters than the home
team
and I'm not sure what the coach wanted by taking out the 3 first team players so early and
replaced them with 'no names'.
All in all Interblock deserved the win as Rudar couldn't finalize their actions and they also let
interblock score 3 times thoug all the goals were rarely seen ones with much luck.

Otherwise the 'plan' was fulfilled with Gorica OVER, Domzale winning and Olimpija not losing.

CM Celje : Olimpija 1:1 (0:0)
Duspara 81.; Rujovič 68.


HiT Gorica : Nafta 3:1 (0:1)
Osterc 57., Demirović 80., Cvijanovič 85.; Volaš 35.
RC: Kolman 52./Nafta


Luka Koper : Domžale 0:1 (0:1)
Čavuševič 28./11-m
RC: Sesar 18./Luka Koper


Interblock : Rudar 3:1 (3:1)
Fink 16., Tabot 39., Paez 42.; Mujakovič 11.
RC: Žitko 68./Interblock

[Feri]

Styrian derby time in Ptuj!
Looks like rain today so a 'slippery' derby as well nut that shouldn't affect at the scorers and
therefore as usually when these are playing an OVER expected. Odss @ 1.60 can't represent a
real cracker but think of f.e. Werder Bremen when it's about today's totals and the 1.60 will
look a bit tastier.
Drava after the great 3-0 away win at the title contenders in Velenje (Rudar) plus the fact they've
shown their best vs all the best teams in the league (vs Rudar 1-0, @Maribor 2-2, @Koper 0-0,
vs Domzale 2-1 + the mentioned rudar away game). Maribor hasn't won in the last 5 or so Styrian
derbies (counting Celje as well if we add Rudar which is close to that too then even more)
and they won't have it easy today as well.
Maribor is going to miss their 1st keeper due to injury and their playmaker Mezga which is
always a blow after Pavlovic left the club.
Good thing for them is Tavares back (though still out of form but next to the 'kindergarden'
every experienced player counts)

speaking of 'kindergarden' check Maribor's bench and their (obvious) years:




Expecting a hard fight and probably more 'violas' (MB fans) than Drava supporters in the stadium
but that doesn't eactly mean a positive thing for the MB players as we know

Therefore the value goes to the home team and the OVER.