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Old 06-11-09, 18:46   #1
Milos NS
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Default Brazil 7-8/11/2009

New round, same goals
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Old 06-11-09, 18:47   #2
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Gremio Barueri - Internacional

Just spent 2 hours watching material from last games both of these teams, and still can't make my mind 100%, but no doubt value is here, and I will play this one for pure value.

Gremio Barueri has something to play for. They want Copa Sudamericana spot no doubt, and they must play hard to achieve that. Last game they played against Sao Paulo, lost 1-0, but Sao Paulo was much better team, and 3 or 4-1 would be real result in that one. For this game Barueri will have 3 important missings: Fernandihno, Val Biano and goalkeeper Rene are out of this game.

Internacional on the other hand, after strong first part of the championship is sinking slowly if you look at results. They lost last game against Botafogo 0-1 at home, and Copa Libertadores spot is further and further for them. But if you saw the game, second story. Botafogo scored from magnificent 35 meters free kick in first half and that was all from them. Internacional played excellent, denied clear penalty, had big number of shoots on goal, but lady luck just wasn't on their side that night. For this game Argentinian D'Alessandro is suspended but Sandro Ranieri and Giuliano are back in the team.

Level ball on this game isn't right AH, it shoul be at least -0.25 so I will take this with small to medium stakes.
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Old 06-11-09, 23:21   #3
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well, I watched International in last match, I've taken dnb International after Botafogo goal and lost my bet, obviously . International did create many chances but their finishing was catastrophy. Very, very bad match of International (you must have in mind that Botafogo isn't quality team at all). I don't trust this International team, maybe they'll win, but until they do not show some quality no bet team for me
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Old 07-11-09, 02:06   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Milos NS View Post
Gremio Barueri - Internacional

Just spent 2 hours watching material from last games both of these teams, and still can't make my mind 100%, but no doubt value is here, and I will play this one for pure value.

Gremio Barueri has something to play for. They want Copa Sudamericana spot no doubt, and they must play hard to achieve that. Last game they played against Sao Paulo, lost 1-0, but Sao Paulo was much better team, and 3 or 4-1 would be real result in that one. For this game Barueri will have 3 important missings: Fernandihno, Val Biano and goalkeeper Rene are out of this game.

Internacional on the other hand, after strong first part of the championship is sinking slowly if you look at results. They lost last game against Botafogo 0-1 at home, and Copa Libertadores spot is further and further for them. But if you saw the game, second story. Botafogo scored from magnificent 35 meters free kick in first half and that was all from them. Internacional played excellent, denied clear penalty, had big number of shoots on goal, but lady luck just wasn't on their side that night. For this game Argentinian D'Alessandro is suspended but Sandro Ranieri and Giuliano are back in the team.

Level ball on this game isn't right AH, it shoul be at least -0.25 so I will take this with small to medium stakes.
Very interesting but I think totally different. Not for your bets but the matches that you talk about. I watched both games 90 minutes. Yes Sao Paulo was better and deserved to win but Barueri created enough chances, forced Rogerio Ceni to make crucial saves.

Also I'm totallay against the idea that Internacional played excellent, for me it was an extremely poor performance. They hold the lion share of possession but that was because Botafogo was sitting at the back only and Colorado couldn't be able to create many chances. Also it was visible that footballers were lacking commitment.
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